Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.632108 8.718134 9.914824 11.333094 12.970500 14.804358 17.017873
2025-08-24 6.037444 7.415510 9.055196 11.156651 13.788090 16.986786 21.188870
2025-08-31 5.063902 6.547454 8.411665 10.938842 14.294962 18.625935 24.682192
2025-09-07 4.621949 6.236364 8.359396 11.376294 15.586775 21.303814 29.738234
2025-09-14 4.180577 5.849397 8.130869 11.506857 16.425086 23.404980 34.196819
2025-09-21 3.777980 5.457668 7.834002 11.478880 16.995822 25.141674 38.279873
2025-09-28 3.416117 5.078427 7.503745 11.346417 17.368190 26.586415 42.041762
2025-10-05 3.239529 4.950034 7.520599 11.722869 18.533357 29.331797 48.136036
2025-10-12 3.064845 4.803639 7.489361 12.009659 19.569430 31.957737 54.315868
2025-10-19 2.937068 4.715968 7.536376 12.417508 20.830820 35.063162 61.654720
2025-10-26 2.679537 4.393982 7.174886 12.106552 20.835397 36.021407 65.279114
2025-11-02 2.479800 4.149480 6.917824 11.944224 21.072106 37.390842 69.786412
2025-11-09 2.298011 3.922878 6.676048 11.793205 21.326643 38.840843 74.670267
2025-11-16 2.128973 3.704149 6.428994 11.608189 21.497117 40.147211 79.425625
2025-11-23 1.970802 3.491189 6.173341 11.380937 21.559357 41.242429 83.868059
2025-11-30 1.926821 3.479900 6.278167 11.837350 22.981610 45.126977 94.565154
2025-12-07 1.841589 3.385209 6.220652 11.973582 23.778135 47.832427 103.066732
2025-12-14 1.742038 3.255504 6.086267 11.944390 24.231408 49.869908 110.335292
2025-12-21 1.637559 3.108239 5.906315 11.806177 24.441047 51.407361 116.647066
2025-12-28 1.602474 3.093207 5.982289 12.198984 25.817296 55.607273 129.719185
2026-01-04 1.558618 3.057161 6.013026 12.498260 27.017047 59.538900 142.660327
2026-01-11 1.529955 3.049362 6.099687 12.923902 28.539193 64.363658 158.461493
2026-01-18 1.429193 2.886095 5.853502 12.599376 28.315768 65.091137 163.897473